“One chart to rule them All”
The US is running the largest deficit of the past many decades outside of GFC at -4.7% of GDP.
Contrary to what was seen in previous periods of economic expansion, where deficits mostly decreased over time, the deficit has been expanding at a relatively high +0.60% year-over-year pace since the end of the Obama administration.
Inflation could block the party, but in my view is unlikely to show up if Japan and Europe are examples.
If you know when this trend will revert or even pause let me know. It will mean a huge change for markets.